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Monday, May 9, 2011

Kloppenburg Should Concede Tonight

As discussed in two prior posts, JoAnne Kloppenburg's team has been attacking "ballot security" in Waukesha County, particularly in the city of Brookfield, based on claims that there were gaps or openings in ballot bags.  The implication is that there was ballot stuffing or ballot removal after the canvass.

This conspiracy theory was dealt a grievous blow when the Brookfield recount matched almost precisely (off by only 4 votes) the canvass numbers and the numbers reported on election night by Brookfield election officials.  So no, there was no ballot tampering in the key city which delivered the win to David Prosser.

Yet Kloppenburg continues to push the ballot security bogeyman, issuing a fundraising letter yesterday again claiming large-scale ballot security problems.

There is only one place for Kloppenburg to go with a ballot security claim - the wholesale discarding of thousand of ballots not based on proof that there was any impropriety, but based on speculation and conjecture that there might have been such tampering.  As results come in, however, and the vote counts closely match both the canvass and the election night reports, it becomes clear that Kloppenburg's conspiracy theory is just a theory.

Now the recount is done everywhere but Waukesha County (which is 30% done), and Kloppenburg has picked up just 355 votes, via JSOnline:

With the recount in the April 5 Supreme Court race now complete in every county but Waukesha, JoAnne Kloppenburg has sliced a mere 355 votes off David Prosser’s lead of 7,316 votes, underscoring the extreme odds against Kloppenburg emerging victorious in the fiercely contested judicial contest.
In effect, Kloppenburg would have to gain 6,962 votes in one county – Waukesha – after gaining a tiny fraction of that in the recount of the state’s other 71 counties.

In the 71 counties recounted so far, Kloppenburg has made a net pick-up of one vote for every 3,873 votes cast.

In Waukesha County, she would have to make a net pick-up of one vote for every 18 votes cast.
And that math actually understates the improbability of a successful outcome for Kloppenburg because about 30% of Waukesha County has already completed the recount process with a net change of fewer than 20 votes.
This is why Kloppenburg has made a wholesale attack on Waukesha "ballot security." Disenfranchising thousands of otherwise valid ballots based on speculation and conjecture is Kloppenburg's only chance.

At this point, Kloppenburg is not interested in counting every vote and making sure every vote counts. It's just a game.

Kloppenburg's original request for a recount was frivolous given the 7316 vote margin and the history of recounts in Wisconsin never having changed the vote count by more than a few hundred votes.

The more Kloppenburg continues on the ballot security conspiracy theory, she just makes a mockery of herself.

It's time to concede.  Tonight.  Before Wisconsin wastes more money tomorrow morning.

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10 comments:

  1. Oh, whatever would the Leftist do if denied the chance to micromanage the rest of us?

    d(^_^)b
    http://libertyatstake.blogspot.com/
    "Because the Only Good Progressive is a Failed Progressive"

    ReplyDelete
  2. Kloppenburg is damaging the trust which is essence of the fabric which holds our democracy together. If, at the end of the day, we can not believe our political opponents to be trustworthy and honorable, then democracy fails. Insisting that chicanery happened is undermining the process. Should Prosser pick up enough votes to push the final margin above 0.05%, then The State of Wisconsin should charge Kloppenburg for the recount. Further, she has probably said enough inflammatory and false statements that she warrants some sort of discipline as an attorney.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I was just on one of the newspapers comment boards up there ....She is not making any friends with this and I suspect by extension nor are the democrats or unions ....let them draw it out as long as they can and try every way they can think of to lie cheat and steal their way to victory I have a feeling its not going to work out like they think

    ReplyDelete
  4. Do we know who she needs permission from to concede?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Why is it that Kloppenburg's vote totals have in general increased, and Prosser's decreased, through the course of this recount?

    Are the polished professional Democrat vote-snipers just an order of magnitude better than the Republican vote-snipers when engaged in a recount?

    ReplyDelete
  6. The implication is that there was ballot stuffing or ballot removal after the canvass.

    Seems like they'd be asserting the ballot tampering occurred before the canvass, and that the bags were re-sealed (incorrectly) as they had been previously.

    ReplyDelete
  7. 1. aggie95 said...I was just on one of the newspapers comment boards up there ....She is not making any friends with this and I suspect by extension nor are the democrats or unions ...

    I'm not disagreeing with aggie95 but this report is a contraindication. Three special elections were held recently to fill the seats of Republican legislators appointed to the Walker administration. The Democrats flipped one of them.

    2. I learned about (one of) the special elections via a fund-raising letter from the "Tea Party Express". The letter mentioned only the seat that flipped. Curious behavior for a grassroots organization composed of straight-talkin' straight-shootin' citizen patriots.

    ReplyDelete
  8. gs....where was the district and how many D's as opposed to R's and what does it usually vote and how much money did the unions pour in

    ReplyDelete
  9. Insufficiently Sensitive said... Why is it that Kloppenburg's vote totals have in general increased, and Prosser's decreased, through the course of this recount?

    This isn't really the case at all. If you break it down by county, you will that generally both gaining or both lose votes between the canvass and the recount. Sometimes one more than another but there is no general trend like you describe. The largest gains for Kloppenburg are in the most heavily populated counties, which is hardly a surprise since they were heavily in her favor and the most susceptible and the percent increase for each candidates is about the same as the other.

    ReplyDelete
  10. aggie95, I expect that some of the information you requested is available online. The link in my previous comment is a reasonable place to start looking.

    ReplyDelete