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Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Please Ignore History and Give Up On Delaware

It's over.  The race is hopeless.  The Republican candidate has no chance because of past indiscretions which have rendered the candidate a joke, and the electorate has made up its mind in favor of the well-known Democrat.

The polls, depending upon which you believe, have our candidate down either 9 or 15 points.  This is better than some earlier polls, but still really bad. 

In such a Blue state, all hope is lost for this Tea Party backed candidate.  Tea Party does not sell here.  The surging anger in the country will not affect an election in this state, not for a seat held for decades by a Democratic Party icon.  And the polls weeks from the election show it.

It's over.

Except that it wasn't, because at the last minute (actually, the last two weeks) the electorate broke heavily towards the hopeless candidate, as people began to realize the candidate had a chance.  We don't know precisely when the tipping point took place, but it did in the last two weeks.

Because the electorate came to the conclusion that the candidates were not the issue, Obamacare was.  And it still is.

(Chart here)

Should we ignore bad polling in Delaware, such as the FoxNews poll showing Christine O'Donnell down 15 points?  Of course not.  The O'Donnell campaign -- after a disastrous three weeks in which she was battered by her own party -- needs to start defining the election around issues.

But to give up hope in a wave election, in which the electorate eventually will focus on the issues not the candidates, is a huge mistake.

Update:  And you thought Martha Coakley was tone deaf?  Chris Coons has pledged his allegiance (h/t @LachlanMarkay) to Harry Reid and the Obama agenda, including the Stimulus Plan and Obamacare:

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  1. I believe in miracles. It's worked out before; it will work out again.

    Let the GOP naysayers shut their mouths and stand behind this conservative candidate.

  2. This race is quickly becoming a waste of time and money for Republicans. It has nothing to do with what happened in other liberal states. It has nothing to do with the fact that a Republican cant win in Delaware this year. It has everything to do with O'Donnell being an awful candidate (second only to Sharron Angle).

    O'Donnell is no Scott Brown.

    So, the focus should shift to support for Raese in West Virginia, Rossi in Washington, Johnson in Wisconsin, and McMahon in Connecticut. Those candidates have a good chance to win their seats and give Republicans 51 seats, and O'Donnell does not. It really is that simple.

  3. @Milcus - It's not a matter of shifting focus from one to another. They all should be pursued vigorously, and they all (thankfully) have the resources. It's not either / or. And wasn't it not too long ago that people wrote off McMahon because of how she made her money?

  4. O'Donnell may not be a Scott Brown, but she's a darn sight better than Coons.

    In the end, the Bearded Marxist will be defeated.

  5. Scott Brown is no Scott Brown.

    He got in and now he's a RINO, like Mike Castle would've been.

    Time only goes forward, so anyone still hanging on to Castle needs to STHU and back our candidate, or get tossed with the rest of the RINO ruling class trash.

  6. "O'Donnell is no Scott Brown."

    Thank goodness for that,

    as long as we get/got rid of these idiots....


    and now they are/soon to be done......

    Next we can add

    to the list....

    You can keep the Senate, grid lock will suit me just fine since the House will be a bloodbath. (95 plus seats)

  7. One of the first things my little league coach said to me in my first year when I was the worst player on the worst team and I couldn't do anything right is "If you think you're going to lose before you start playing, the job is half done already." We won one game that year but it changed me.

    It's like Mark Levin said last week, there are no red states and blue states. They all pose different challenges but we shouldn't concede an inch to an opponent that is determined to win every inch.

    All political races are winnable. But not if we give up without trying.

  8. Why is she no Scott Brown? I don't completely agree that this election is all about issues. It is mainly but some personal characteristics will still matter. First, and let's be honest, she is very attractive which counts for lots in this world. Alright I know I am committing a Harry Reid there but I am not the Majority Leader and I am not a man.

    Second, is there anything about Coons that is likely to charge up the base and send them to the polls? Anyone who would be charged up by his allegiance to the progressive agenda was already going to go vote. They can't help themselves any more than you or I could help ourselves from voting on election day. The momentum is entirely against him and there isn't anything that would fire up a squishy low-info voter to go to the polls and vote for him.

    I will be honest, I probably would have voted for Castle and I thought DE would as well. I did, however, say I would support the GOP nominee wholeheartedly. In retrospect, I think Castle was just as likely if not more to blow this election. A guy named Aesop wrote stories about situations like this a couple thousand years ago. They stood the test of time because there is truth to them. Never count out the tortoise.

  9. I think there are more Americans every day who are waking up to the out of control tax and spend Democrats.
    The city of Bell, California tells the complete story of tax and spend Democrats. They start out with small stuff and increase their take every time they can.


    In Delaware, Chris Coons starts out with a 5% tax increase and gets away with it. Next he goes for 17.5% increase and gets that. Next he goes for 25% increase and gets that. Now he figures the people of Delaware are willing to give him a Senate seat so he can help Obama tax Americans out of existence. If you live in Delaware Do your part to help Save America. Vote O'Donnell in Nov. Stop a totally out of control tax and spend Democrat.


  10. I think all the "negative publicity" involved in this particular election and the Republican candidate is going to propel her into that senate seat in this anti-Washington, anti-elitist, and anti-big government election year. I can't see Coons winning any election this year. The Left will stay home and all those people that the establishment Beltway insiders have pissed off will make sure they vote, everybody paying higher taxes, higher fees, losing liberties, out of work, and who aren't on the public dole will come out in droves.

  11. Since the establishment elites have decided to conjure up all kinds of new "rules" to serve as barricades to keep conservatives out of power, I would like propose one of my own: the Lowell Wiecker Rule.

    "Never vote for a flawed conservative if there is a Marxist alternative available."

    Then there is my Pasadena Phil rule:

    "Vote out the incumbent RINO even if the opponent is a steaming pile of crap."

    You may never get a better chance to vote out an entrenched McCain but you can deal with the steaming pile in the next election if he/she doesn't measure up.

  12. And I propose the Demosthenes9 rule which is: "True Conservatives will love Scott Brown as an R winning in a Blue state but will of course ignore the Brown is indeed a RINO"

    As I have stated before, Scott Brown MAKES THE CASE that electing a RINO to the Senate is still better than losing the seat to a Dem.