tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1522121129844880066.post50625119082721794..comments2023-10-24T11:23:31.580-04:00Comments on Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion: Polling 101, Session 3: Handling BiasWilliam A. Jacobsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16433685588536441422noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1522121129844880066.post-64011589878396633642011-03-10T17:47:30.884-05:002011-03-10T17:47:30.884-05:00To make matters worse, the poll relies on asking f...<i>To make matters worse, the poll relies on asking for whom people voted in November. Since it appears that more people oppose Walker now than then, it is likely that to the degree this number is off, it is because there are people who did vote for Walker but do not want to admit it, rather than the other way around. Thus, this bias, while unmeasurable, militates in favor of Walker losing more support, rather than less.</i><br /><br />I've got to say this is exactly the opposite of what I've observed on a right-to-left shift-- when there's something that's hot-button, a LOT of folks suddenly become "former supporters." (<a href="http://twitter.com/JonahNRO/statuses/45921825485623296" rel="nofollow">Came to mind</a> because of a tweet, actually; it's also known in some circles as the "I was an observant Catholic" group.)<br /><br />I do notice a tendency to deny ever supporting someone on a left-to-right sift. <br /> (Several folks who I KNOW voted for Obama have suddenly "never much cared for him.")<br /><br /> No idea how one would actually measure that, though, same way I don't know how one would account for the large number of college-age guys I know that enjoy bragging about choosing the most outlandish question on any survey that they won't be graded on.<br /> (Think along the lines of "Abe Lincoln was one of the founding fathers" type stuff; I made the mistake of asking some friends who didn't go to school with me if they'd heard of it...and the guys uniformly thought it was a wonderfully hilarious idea that they should apply in their lives.)Foxfierhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10161683096247890834noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1522121129844880066.post-25034917399657311652011-03-09T12:44:33.033-05:002011-03-09T12:44:33.033-05:00Great series btw.
But, Dang, I was so hoping to f...Great series btw.<br /><br />But, Dang, I was so hoping to find my personal belief that polls are inaccurate (especially those who's outcomes I don't like) seems to have been shot down.<br /><br />However like most people, I'll just keep on believing that cause that's what I want to be true. HAH!<br /><br />(are you really, really, really sure the leftists aren't skewing the polls somehow? Hmmmmm?)jakee308https://www.blogger.com/profile/14427624618950767788noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1522121129844880066.post-66680953973327417582011-03-09T10:02:13.065-05:002011-03-09T10:02:13.065-05:00Another great addition to the series. One that ra...Another great addition to the series. One that raises a question that I have: is it possible--given the PC culture, the fact that the left repeatedly attacks anyone who doesn't support Obama as RAAAAACIST, and the American people's not liking to be called RAAAACIST or even perceived as such--that people lie about their approval of Obama to avoid any attacks or even simply the appearance of being racist? <br /><br />I simply can't figure out how/why his approval numbers are so freaking high when he and his presidency has been one long disaster for America and her people. Can people really not see that he's the problem, that everything the EPA, DOJ, TSA, DHS, etc. and etc. are doing (that they hate) actually comes from the WH? I just don't buy that. I guess 2012 will tell, because if this "theory" is correct, these people gushing support for BO to pollsters will not vote for him in the privacy of the voting booth.Fuzzy Slippershttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13021615731454709413noreply@blogger.com